Rocket Classic: Model Projections
Win, Top 5, and Top 10 probabilities from the BetTheRent Monte Carlo model (100,000 simulations). Updated as new data becomes available.
PGA Tour Event · Open field
Win Probability — Full Field
| Rank | Player | Win% | Top 5% | Top 10% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackson Koivun | 7.6% | 24.0% | 36.4% |
| 2 | Xander Schauffele | 5.0% | 22.4% | 38.1% |
| 3 | Patrick Cantlay | 4.7% | 17.3% | 28.3% |
| 4 | Russell Henley | 4.1% | 15.2% | 24.8% |
| 5 | Eric Cole | 3.4% | 10.7% | 16.7% |
| 6 | Hideki Matsuyama | 3.3% | 12.9% | 21.6% |
| 7 | Akshay Bhatia | 2.7% | 10.2% | 17.4% |
| 8 | Cameron Young | 2.5% | 10.4% | 18.0% |
| 9 | Matt McCarty | 2.4% | 8.4% | 13.6% |
| 10 | Nicolai Hojgaard | 1.9% | 8.3% | 15.0% |
| 11 | Corey Conners | 1.8% | 8.8% | 16.5% |
| 12 | Wyndham Clark | 1.7% | 7.5% | 13.7% |
| 13 | Rickie Fowler | 1.7% | 7.0% | 12.6% |
| 14 | Jesper Svensson | 1.6% | 6.0% | 10.3% |
| 15 | Ben Griffin | 1.5% | 8.4% | 16.7% |
| 16 | Si Woo Kim | 1.5% | 7.7% | 14.9% |
| 17 | Jake Knapp | 1.3% | 6.2% | 11.7% |
| 18 | Chris Gotterup | 1.3% | 6.6% | 12.9% |
| 19 | Stephan Jaeger | 1.3% | 5.5% | 10.0% |
| 20 | Jacob Bridgeman | 1.3% | 6.7% | 13.0% |
| 21 | Emiliano Grillo | 1.3% | 5.8% | 10.5% |
| 22 | Sungjae Im | 1.2% | 5.9% | 11.2% |
| 23 | Keegan Bradley | 1.2% | 6.4% | 12.3% |
| 24 | Jackson Suber | 1.2% | 5.0% | 9.2% |
| 25 | Ryo Hisatsune | 1.1% | 5.2% | 9.8% |
| 26 | J.J. Spaun | 1.1% | 6.3% | 12.6% |
| 27 | Ben James | 1.1% | 5.1% | 9.5% |
| 28 | Harry Hall | 1.1% | 5.7% | 11.4% |
| 29 | Jordan Spieth | 1.1% | 5.6% | 11.1% |
| 30 | Sudarshan Yellamaraju | 1.0% | 5.6% | 11.0% |
Showing the top 30 of 147 players by win probability. Full field on the Projections page.