THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson: Model Projections
Projections generated by the BetTheRent Monte Carlo model. Updated as new data becomes available.
Win Probability — Full Field
| Rank | Player | Win% | Top 5% | Top 10% | Make Cut% | Exp. Score | CFS Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Scheffler | 16.0% | 42.4% | 57.8% | 89.1% | -17.8 | 1 |
| 2 | Taylor Montgomery | 2.9% | 13.3% | 23.3% | 71.0% | -11.4 | 96 |
| 3 | Si Woo Kim | 2.8% | 12.0% | 20.9% | 66.9% | -10.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Cameron Champ | 2.7% | 11.7% | 21.1% | 68.4% | -10.8 | 20 |
| 5 | Michael Thorbjornsen | 2.6% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 57.2% | -8.4 | 31 |
| 6 | Pierceson Coody | 2.6% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 54.9% | -7.8 | 102 |
| 7 | Doug Ghim | 2.0% | 7.9% | 13.8% | 54.7% | -7.7 | 19 |
| 8 | Thorbjorn Olesen | 1.8% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 55.9% | -8.0 | 29 |
| 9 | Kevin Roy | 1.8% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 56.9% | -8.2 | 17 |
| 10 | Kevin Yu | 1.8% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 51.5% | -7.0 | 43 |
| 11 | Austin Eckroat | 1.7% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 53.9% | -7.5 | 8 |
| 12 | Jackson Suber | 1.4% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 45.4% | -5.5 | 127 |
| 13 | Eric Cole | 1.4% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 51.6% | -6.9 | 2 |
| 14 | Hayden Springer | 1.4% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 52.1% | -7.2 | 68 |
| 15 | Rasmus Hojgaard | 1.4% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 56.2% | -8.0 | 41 |
| 16 | Wyndham Clark | 1.3% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 52.0% | -7.1 | 62 |
| 17 | Ryo Hisatsune | 1.3% | 6.9% | 13.6% | 61.3% | -9.0 | 56 |
| 18 | Sam Ryder | 1.2% | 5.7% | 10.7% | 52.4% | -7.1 | 28 |
| 19 | Kris Ventura | 1.2% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 49.7% | -6.5 | 58 |
| 20 | Jesper Svensson | 1.2% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 45.9% | -5.7 | 124 |
| 21 | Max Greyserman | 1.2% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 43.7% | -5.1 | 101 |
| 22 | Brooks Koepka | 1.1% | 6.4% | 12.8% | 60.0% | -8.7 | 30 |
| 23 | Jordan Smith | 1.1% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 54.8% | -7.6 | 45 |
| 24 | Chris Kirk | 1.0% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 51.7% | -7.0 | 61 |
| 25 | Zecheng Dou | 1.0% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 52.7% | -7.2 | 18 |
| 26 | Davis Thompson | 0.9% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 53.1% | -7.2 | 131 |
| 27 | Sungjae Im | 0.9% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 46.3% | -5.8 | 50 |
| 28 | Johnny Keefer | 0.9% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 41.2% | -4.6 | 114 |
| 29 | Adrien Dumont de Chassart | 0.9% | 5.6% | 11.9% | 60.6% | -8.8 | 26 |
| 30 | Haotong Li | 0.9% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 51.3% | -6.9 | 52 |
Showing the top 30 of 141 players by win probability. Full field on the Projections page.
Course Fit Rankings
| CFS Rank | Player | CFS Score | Win% | Top 10% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Scheffler | 100 | 16.0% | 57.8% |
| 2 | Eric Cole | 99 | 1.4% | 11.0% |
| 3 | Si Woo Kim | 99 | 2.8% | 20.9% |
| 4 | Takumi Kanaya | 98 | 0.6% | 7.9% |
| 5 | Will Gordon | 97 | 0.1% | 1.6% |
| 6 | Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 96 | 0.7% | 10.9% |
| 7 | Adam Schenk | 96 | 0.2% | 3.0% |
| 8 | Austin Eckroat | 95 | 1.7% | 12.9% |
| 9 | Ben Kohles | 94 | 0.2% | 7.7% |
| 10 | Mackenzie Hughes | 94 | 0.6% | 7.5% |
| 11 | Mark Hubbard | 93 | 0.5% | 5.5% |
| 12 | Martin Laird | 92 | 0.3% | 5.7% |
| 13 | Ben Martin | 91 | 0.3% | 5.9% |
| 14 | Jordan Spieth | 91 | 0.3% | 8.4% |
| 15 | Erik van Rooyen | 90 | 0.1% | 1.9% |
| 16 | Vince Whaley | 89 | 0.3% | 6.0% |
| 17 | Kevin Roy | 89 | 1.8% | 14.0% |
| 18 | Zecheng Dou | 88 | 1.0% | 10.2% |
| 19 | Doug Ghim | 87 | 2.0% | 13.8% |
| 20 | Cameron Champ | 86 | 2.7% | 21.1% |