THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson: Market Watch
Opening odds · May 21, 2026 · TPC Craig Ranch
Outright Winner Odds
| Player | BetMGM | DraftKings | FanDuel | William Hill | Implied Win% | Model Win% | CFS Rank |
|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | +175 | +168 | +150 | +175 | 37.5% | 16.0% | 1 |
| Si Woo Kim | +1400 | +1275 | +1300 | +1200 | 7.2% | 2.8% | 3 |
| Jordan Spieth | +1400 | +1750 | +1600 | +1400 | 6.2% | 0.3% | 14 |
| Brooks Koepka | +2500 | +2500 | +2200 | +2000 | 4.2% | 1.1% | 30 |
| Michael Thorbjornsen | +4000 | +4000 | +3500 | +3300 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 31 |
| Ryo Hisatsune | +4000 | +4700 | +4000 | +2800 | 2.6% | 1.3% | 56 |
| Pierceson Coody | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 | +3300 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 101 |
| Keith Mitchell | +4000 | +3700 | +4500 | +3300 | 2.5% | 0.7% | 39 |
| Davis Thompson | +4000 | +4900 | +4000 | +3300 | 2.5% | 0.9% | 130 |
| Taylor Pendrith | +5000 | +5500 | +4000 | +3300 | 2.3% | 0.5% | 27 |
| Wyndham Clark | +5000 | +4800 | +5500 | +4000 | 2.1% | 1.3% | 62 |
| Rasmus Hojgaard | +5000 | +5400 | +5000 | +4000 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 41 |
| Michael Brennan | +6600 | +5800 | +4500 | +5000 | 1.8% | 0.5% | 67 |
| Max Greyserman | +5000 | +6600 | +6500 | +4500 | 1.8% | 1.2% | 100 |
| Sungjae Im | +6000 | +5600 | +6000 | +5000 | 1.7% | 0.9% | 50 |
| Austin Eckroat | +6600 | +9200 | +5000 | +4000 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 8 |
| Eric Cole | +6000 | +8600 | +5000 | +5000 | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2 |
| Tom Kim | +7000 | +7200 | +5000 | +5000 | 1.7% | 0.4% | 34 |
| Mac Meissner | +6000 | +6400 | +7000 | +5000 | 1.6% | 0.5% | 125 |
| Blades Brown | +6600 | +8000 | +5500 | +5500 | 1.6% | 0.4% | 77 |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | +6600 | +7800 | +6500 | +5000 | 1.6% | 0.7% | 6 |
| Rico Hoey | +6600 | +6500 | +6500 | +6000 | 1.5% | 0.7% | 89 |
| Haotong Li | +6600 | +7200 | +7000 | +5500 | 1.5% | 0.9% | 52 |
| Jordan Smith | +8000 | +7400 | +7000 | +5000 | 1.5% | 1.1% | 45 |
| Stephan Jaeger | +6600 | +7200 | +7000 | +6000 | 1.5% | 0.7% | 48 |
| Matti Schmid | +8000 | +8400 | +7000 | +6000 | 1.4% | 0.3% | 110 |
| Thorbjorn Olesen | +6600 | +7400 | +10000 | +6600 | 1.3% | 1.8% | 29 |
| Doug Ghim | +8000 | +8200 | +8000 | +7000 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 19 |
| Beau Hossler | +7500 | +9800 | +10000 | +6000 | 1.2% | 0.7% | 129 |
| Kevin Roy | +8000 | +11500 | +10000 | +6000 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 17 |
Implied vs. Model
| Player | Implied Win% | Model Win% | Difference |
|---|
| Taylor Montgomery | 0.3% | 2.9% | +2.6 pp |
| Cameron Champ | 0.6% | 2.7% | +2.1 pp |
| Davis Thompson | 2.5% | 0.9% | -1.5 pp |
| Taylor Pendrith | 2.3% | 0.5% | -1.8 pp |
| Keith Mitchell | 2.5% | 0.7% | -1.8 pp |
| Brooks Koepka | 4.2% | 1.1% | -3.1 pp |
| Si Woo Kim | 7.2% | 2.8% | -4.4 pp |
| Jordan Spieth | 6.2% | 0.3% | -5.9 pp |
| Scottie Scheffler | 37.5% | 16.0% | -21.5 pp |
