Projections & Leaderboard

Masters Tournament — After Round 3

Updated: April 11, 2026 08:03 PM ET | BTR Model v1.0



✓ = actual score · » = BTR projected score · Total shows to-par

Player R1 ✓ R2 ✓ R3 ✓ R4 » Total Make Cut
McIlroy, Rory67666673-16100%
Reed, Patrick69706969-11100%
Schauffele, Xander70697071-8100%
Day, Jason69707172-6100%
Homa, Max72706971-6100%
Scheffler, Scottie70717269-6100%
Rose, Justin70717566-6100%
Spieth, Jordan72736970-4100%
Johnson, Zach73746671-499%
Fleetwood, Tommy71697569-4100%
Kitayama, Kurt69697069-3100%
Henley, Russell73687171-3100%
Im, Sungjae75707169-3100%
Matsuyama, Hideki72687966-3100%
Scott, Adam70727271-2100%
McCarty, Matt72687571-2100%
Woodland, Gary71717171-197%
Bridgeman, Jacob71717171-198%
Burns, Sam67707575-1100%
English, Harris73737368-1100%
Morikawa, Collin74697272-1100%
Reitan, Kristoffer72727272E92%
Gotterup, Chris72727272E93%
Brennan, Michael72727272E92%
Stevens, Sam72727272E93%
Gerard, Ryan72727272E93%
Griffin, Ben72727272E93%
DeChambeau, Bryson76686975E100%
Rai, Aaron71747370E100%
Campbell, Brian71737668E100%
Straka, Sepp73717272E100%
Rahm, Jon78717069E40%
Aberg, Ludvig74736972E100%
Knapp, Jake73727372+184%
Clark, Wyndham72687574+1100%
Taylor, Nick71717473+1100%
Bradley, Keegan72737372+1100%
Thomas, Justin72717670+1100%
Conners, Corey75707075+2100%
Hatton, Tyrrell74707571+2100%
Johnson, Dustin73737373+2100%
Li, Haotong74737373+271%
Fang, Ethan74737473+248%
Hovland, Viktor75697373+2100%
Lowry, Shane70687281+3100%
McKibbin, Tom75747474+329%
Koepka, Brooks72757373+3100%
Kim, Si Woo75737473+359%
Schwartzel, Charl75727272+3100%
Berger, Daniel76737369+3—
Novak, Andrew75747474+329%
Kim, Michael75717471+3100%
Garcia, Sergio72767473+441%
Penge, Marco76747574+448%
Hojgaard, Rasmus76677574+4100%
Cantlay, Patrick77727371+540%
Noren, Alex77757675+542%
Willett, Danny76717373+599%
McNealy, Maverick77737173+640%
Lee, Min Woo71727774+6100%
Hojgaard, Nicolai76747574+6—
Fitzpatrick, Matt74737473+6100%
Spaun, J.J.74727475+7100%
Bhatia, Akshay73767571+7—
Riley, Davis82697569+7—
⚠ Projected Cut Bubble — unlikely to make the cut
Watson, Bubba76727468+22% ⚠
Olazabal, Jose Maria74747474+42% ⚠
Keefer, Johnny76747574+413% ⚠
Herrington, Jackson76757575+413% ⚠
Jarvis, Casey77757675+54% ⚠
Hall, Harry77757675+54% ⚠
Fox, Ryan77757675+55% ⚠
Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus77757675+54% ⚠
Howell, Mason77757675+55% ⚠
Smith, Cameron74787575+8—
Young, Cameron73797575+840% ⚠
Greyserman, Max79756974+9—
Weir, Mike81737676+10—
Harman, Brian79717771+1040% ⚠
MacIntyre, Robert80757676+11—
Couples, Fred78777676+11—
Echavarria, Nico79706984+14—

BTR odds generated by our model. Book odds from BetMGM and DraftKings.

Player Score BTR Win BTR Top5 BTR Top10 BetMGM DraftKings
McIlroy, Rory-16-1900-1900-1900-250-245
Reed, Patrick-11+58040-216-1367+1600+1500
Schauffele, Xander-8—-129-677+6600+6700
Day, Jason-6—+250-206+6600+5700
Homa, Max-6—+293-176+25000+30000
Scheffler, Scottie-6—+1969+303+5000+6000
Rose, Justin-6—+84646+6127+2000+2050
Spieth, Jordan-4—+3723+515+50000+90000
Johnson, Zach-4—+1444+227+100000+200000
Fleetwood, Tommy-4—+18627+1669+1800+1750
Kitayama, Kurt-3+5968-114-287+300000+500000
Henley, Russell-3—+285-117+40000+67500
Im, Sungjae-3—+18768+1673+150000+275000
Matsuyama, Hideki-3———+10000+10500
Scott, Adam-2—+1985+477+100000+325000
McCarty, Matt-2—+15332+1561+150000+450000
Woodland, Gary-1+94240+599+218+200000+450000
Bridgeman, Jacob-1—+598+215+100000+200000
Burns, Sam-1—+2052+326+2500+2100
English, Harris-1———+75000+110000
Morikawa, Collin-1—+6835+808+25000+23000
Reitan, KristofferE—+1850+595+12500+12500
Gotterup, ChrisE—+1662+558+10000+8000
Brennan, MichaelE—+1902+617+75000+140000
Stevens, SamE—+2051+620+200000+500000
Gerard, RyanE—+1991+609+75000+160000
Griffin, BenE—+2173+646+12500+14500
DeChambeau, BrysonE—+552+108——
Rai, AaronE——+81867+150000+450000
Campbell, BrianE———+150000+500000
Straka, SeppE—+5917+1208+100000+180000
Rahm, JonE———+100000+275000
Aberg, LudvigE—+18984+2065+20000+20000
Knapp, Jake+1—+6012+1667+20000+18000
Clark, Wyndham+1—+12558+1439+8000+9600
Taylor, Nick+1——+7374+50000+87500
Bradley, Keegan+1—+33013+5044+200000+500000
Thomas, Justin+1———+100000+200000
Conners, Corey+2—+5219+674+300000+500000
Hatton, Tyrrell+2——+99900+6600+6100
Johnson, Dustin+2—+71329+10104+100000+200000
Watson, Bubba ⚠+2—————
Li, Haotong+2—+31951+6496+12500+14500
Fang, Ethan+2—+35614+7978——
Hovland, Viktor+2—+71329+4773+100000+200000
Lowry, Shane+3—+196-266+4000+3400
McKibbin, Tom+3——+47977——
Koepka, Brooks+3——+76823+5000+5100
Kim, Si Woo+3——+27524+200000+500000
Schwartzel, Charl+3——+89186+400000+500000
Berger, Daniel+3—————
Novak, Andrew+3——+38962——
Kim, Michael+3———+200000+500000
Garcia, Sergio+4———+300000+500000
Olazabal, Jose Maria ⚠+4—————
Penge, Marco+4———+100000+275000
Hojgaard, Rasmus+4——+10653+300000+500000
Keefer, Johnny ⚠+4—————
Herrington, Jackson ⚠+4—————
Cantlay, Patrick+5———+50000+80000
Noren, Alex+5———+300000+500000
Jarvis, Casey ⚠+5—————
Hall, Harry ⚠+5—————
Fox, Ryan ⚠+5—————
Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus ⚠+5—————
Willett, Danny+5—————
Howell, Mason ⚠+5—————
McNealy, Maverick+6———+200000+500000
Lee, Min Woo+6———+1800+1750
Hojgaard, Nicolai+6———+300000+500000
Fitzpatrick, Matt+6———+12500+15500
Spaun, J.J.+7—————
Bhatia, Akshay+7—————
Riley, Davis+7—————
Smith, Cameron ⚠+8—————
Young, Cameron ⚠+8———+2500+2500
Greyserman, Max ⚠+9—————
Weir, Mike ⚠+10—————
Harman, Brian ⚠+10———+300000+500000
MacIntyre, Robert ⚠+11—————
Couples, Fred ⚠+11—————
Echavarria, Nico ⚠+14—————

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BTR Model v1.0 — Weighted SG decomposition · Course fit adjustment · Round-by-round simulation (50,000 iterations)
R1 field avg: 74.70 (Augusta 2026). Book odds from BetMGM/DraftKings via ODDS.XLSM.
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